I know people who go straight from like 4-15 (this chance is as crazy as +10 talisman from 0).
Something that has 50% success chance doesn't mean u will get success after 2 trial or anything close to that, the chance that you fail both trials is pretty high actually (25%).
The chance that u fail 11 silver in a row is 1/20
I have a feeling that some of you only believe in luck and not even try to make your chance greater at upgrading something. But keep in mind probability is making those casinos rich.
The only thing that we need to address is that how real is cabal success chance?
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